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BTS-B.ST

BTS Group AB (publ) (BTS-B.ST) fair value

Industrials · Consulting Services · Nasdaq Stockholm · Sweden
kr 231.00+1.09%
Market cap kr 4.5BNext earnings 2026-11-06Updated Oct 22, 2026
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Our verdict
Trades 6% below our fair value
Price
kr 231.00
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
kr 246
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison.
ACCE opinionBTS Group AB (publ) (BTS-B.ST)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
kr 235
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST.
Price used: kr 231 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
61
out of 100
P/E
47.2x
forward 17.7x
1-year return
+22.0%
Dividend yield
1.93%

BTS Group AB (publ) in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

BTS Group is a Swedish consulting firm that sells procurement, sourcing and supply-chain advisory services to large industrial and public-sector buyers, billing largely on time and expertise. The business has a 43.0% gross margin, which suggests real pricing power in a field where clients often pay for specialist knowledge rather than headcount. Revenue is growing 6.5%, and the gap between a trailing P/E of 46.7 and a forward P/E of 17.5 implies the market is pricing in a sharp earnings recovery from a depressed base, which is the central thing to test. A 10.0% operating margin and 6.3% ROE are modest, so the investment case depends on whether margins can expand toward the gross-margin level rather than on the top line alone. At 4.4B SEK market cap with no index membership, the name sits outside the coverage of many large funds, which may keep it mispriced for longer; it merits a deeper look focused on margin bridge assumptions and the quality of the consensus earnings estimates behind that forward multiple.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 1 flagAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Rich trailing multiple
    Trailing P/E is 47.2 against a forward P/E of 17.7, so the stock rests on a large expected earnings rebound. Net margin is only 3.5% and ROE 6.3%.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 24, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue has grown 13.0% a year on average over five years, showing the business has expanded consistently over time.
  • Forward earnings multiple of 17.7x sits well below the sector median of 22.9x, suggesting the shares are cheaper than peers on expected profits.
  • Free cash flow of SEK 154M over the last twelve months, with debt at 0.40 times equity, gives the company room to fund itself.
Why it could disappoint
  • The latest quarter missed expectations badly, with earnings per share of -6.00 against 2.90 expected.
  • A net margin of 3.5% and return on invested capital of 5.4% leave little profit from each krona of sales or capital employed.
  • The trailing earnings multiple of 47.2x is far above the forward figure, so the stock looks expensive on what it has actually earned.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 6, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where BTS-B.ST's valuation models land
Price
kr 231.00
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
kr 246
Model
Fair value
Upside
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
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  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
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Analysts

Wall Street consensus

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  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

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Company insiders
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Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
+2.7%
1 month
+13.2%
3 months
+24.3%
6 months
+53.2%
YTD
+57.4%
1 year
+22.0%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CESTACCE price targetkr 235first publicationkr 229

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in SEK. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth40Value53Quality60Momentum90Total61
Valuation
Trailing P/E
47.2x
Forward P/E
17.7x
PEG
6.47
P/B
2.62x
EV / Revenue
1.5x
Book value/sh
kr 77.86
Enterprise value
kr 4.1B
Profitability
ROE
6.3%
FCF yield
3.45%
ROIC
5.4%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.40
Dividend yield
1.93%
Beta
0.56

Price

+22.0% · 1Y

Ask anything about BTS-B.ST

Answered from BTS Group AB (publ) fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0x47.2xhigh 47.2x
ROEbetter than 50% of peers
low -44%6%high 26%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%1.9%high 3.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
BTS-B.ST BTS Group AB (publ)kr 231.00--47.2x6.3%6061
SBC SBC Medical Group Holdings Incorporated Common Stock$5.28$618% below11.2x18.9%9589
ROMA Roma Green Finance Limited Class A Ordinary Shares$6.00----44.2%1430
REJL-B.ST Rejlers AB (publ)kr 146.60kr 16913% below19.4x8.8%5252
PPHC Public Policy Holding Company Inc. Common Stock$9.77$2154% below--39.5%2231
FORR Forrester Research Inc. Common Stock$12.48$134% below--30.3%4463
CRAI CRA International Inc. Common Stock$200.14$14043% above26.8x26.0%7470

Sector report card

Where BTS-B.ST ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…