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BRLT

Brilliant Earth Group Inc. Class A Common Stock (BRLT) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods · NASDAQ · United States
$1.51-1.31%
Market cap $154MNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 24, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 8% above our fair value
Price
$1.51
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$1.40
Model range
$1.29 to $1.50
Fair value $1.40
Price $1.51
2 models fit Brilliant Earth Group Inc. Class A Common Stock and they agree: 2 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Silver63
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionBrilliant Earth Group Inc. Class A Common Stock (BRLT)
Fair value (2 models)
$1.40
ACCE price target
$1.45
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST; previously $1.27 since 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: $1.51 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
8.1% above
-7.5% to fair value
ACCE score
51
out of 100
Analysts
0% buy
5 covering
1-year return
-41.2%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Brilliant Earth Group Inc. Class A Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Brilliant Earth sells engagement rings, wedding bands and fine jewelry online and through a small showroom footprint, with lab-grown and responsibly sourced diamonds a large part of the mix. The structural case rests on a 56.5% gross margin, which is high for a jeweler and reflects the brand's direct-to-consumer model and its growing share of bridal sales. Revenue is growing 5.7%, but operating margin is just 0.4%, so the story depends on whether that gross margin can convert into operating leverage as marketing and overhead scale. At a forward P/E of 10.2 on a $148M market cap, the shares price in little of that recovery, though the negative ROE and absence from any index mean liquidity and sponsorship are thin. The name merits a deeper look mainly to test whether operating margin can move meaningfully above break-even, and the 54/100 score suggests that work is still open.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Heavy leverage on thin equity
    Debt/Equity of 3.09 against $6M of free cash flow on a $151M market cap leaves little cushion if revenue slows. Net margin is -1.0% and ROE is -10.9%.
  • moderate
    Sequential revenue drop
    Revenue fell 20.0% quarter on quarter, even though year-on-year growth is 5.7%. The price trades 4.1% above the ACCE price target of $1.45, which leaves little margin for a further slip.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 21, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 5.7% year over year, and the five-year average growth rate is 11.7% per year.
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months was $6M, and the price implies a 3.8% free cash flow yield.
  • At a forward P/E of 10.2x against a sector median of 17.9x, the shares look cheap relative to peers.
Why it could disappoint
  • The company is loss-making, with a net margin of -1.0% and return on equity of -10.9%.
  • Debt to equity stands at 3.09, a heavy debt load for a business that is not yet profitable.
  • The shares trade 8.1% above the model fair value of $1.40, and only 0% of 5 analysts rate them Buy or Strong Buy.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where BRLT's valuation models land
Price
$1.51
Model fair value
$1.40
Model range
$1.29 to $1.50
Fair value $1.40
Price $1.51
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish0% buy · 5 covering analysts
● Strong buy 0● Buy 0● Hold 5● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+2.7%
1 month
+5.6%
3 months
+32.5%
6 months
+5.6%
YTD
-13.7%
1 year
-41.2%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$1.51
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTFair value$1.40$1.27$1.51
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.27$1.58$1.45
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$1.45first publication$1.46
8 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.58$1.41$1.43
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.41$1.40$1.39
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.40$1.42$1.33
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.42$1.43$1.40
23 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.43$1.42$1.40
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.42$1.47$1.40

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth56Value68Quality25Momentum53Total51
Valuation
Trailing P/E
no data
Forward P/E
14.8x
PEG
no data
P/B
1.99x
EV / Revenue
0.0x
Book value/sh
$0.72
Enterprise value
$-8,848,709
Profitability
ROE
-10.9%
FCF yield
3.74%
ROIC
-5.9%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
3.09
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.42

Price

-42.6% · 1Y

Ask anything about BRLT

Answered from Brilliant Earth Group Inc. Class A Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -285%-11%high 81%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 7.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
BRLT Brilliant Earth Group Inc. Class A Common Stock$1.51$18% above--10.9%2551
LANV Lanvin Group Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares$0.85----285.3%2518
DPT.PA S.T. Dupont S.A.€0.08€082% above-7.0%6047
BIJ.DE Bijou Brigitte modische Accessoires Aktiengesellschaft€44.80€475% below11.7x14.3%7259
SORA AsiaStrategy Ordinary Shares$2.40--4.9x81.3%6362
MOV Movado Group Inc. Common Stock$31.46$2056% above17.8x8.4%6472
SFER.MI Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A.€6.20--103.3x1.7%4629

Sector report card

Where BRLT ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 15, 2026
    Brilliant Earth to Report Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results on November 5th
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 24, 2026
    Brilliant Earth Named Exclusive Fine Jewelry Partner of the House of Taylor and the Elizabeth Taylor Estate
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 21, 2026
    Brilliant Earth Announces Participation in Upcoming Investor Conferences
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
29 filings of 40
August 2026
Aug 26
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-24
View on SEC →
Aug 26
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-24
View on SEC →
Aug 19
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-18
View on SEC →
26 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR