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AVAH

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. Common Stock (AVAH) fair value

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities · NASDAQ · United States
$13.38+0.45%
Market cap $2.9BNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Close to our fair value
Price
$13.38
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$13.80
Model range
$7.90 to $19.85
Fair value $13.80
Price $13.38
3 models fit Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Silver74
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionAveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. Common Stock (AVAH)
Fair value (3 models)
$13.80
ACCE price target
$13.00
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 20 Oct 2026, 15:04 CEST; previously $16.46 since 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 15:04 CEST.
Price used: $13.38 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
3.0% below
+3.1% to fair value
ACCE score
77
out of 100
Analysts
73% buy
11 covering
P/E
10.6x
forward 14.7x
1-year return
+46.7%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Aveanna Healthcare operates home health and pediatric care, delivering skilled nursing, therapy and private-duty services to medically complex children and adults, largely funded by Medicaid. The moat is less a brand than a licensed footprint and clinician network that takes years to replicate in a labor-constrained field, and that scale is what keeps 13.7% revenue growth and a 12.6% operating margin possible at a 10.0 trailing P/E. The growth driver to watch is the shift of care out of hospitals and institutions into the home, which lifts demand for exactly this kind of service. At a 13.3 forward P/E against a trailing 10.0, the market is pricing in some earnings compression, which makes the next few quarters of margin and reimbursement commentary the number to check before going further.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where AVAH's valuation models land
Price
$13.38
Model fair value
$13.80
Model range
$7.90 to $19.85
Fair value $13.80
Price $13.38
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish73% buy · 11 covering analysts
● Strong buy 6● Buy 2● Hold 3● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+8.4%
1 month
+4.6%
3 months
+41.6%
6 months
+104.3%
YTD
+63.8%
1 year
+46.7%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
20 Oct 2026, 15:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$12.44
20 Oct 2026, 15:04 CESTFair value$13.80$16.46$12.44
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$13.00first publication$12.25
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$16.46$9.02$12.25
7 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.02$9.15$12.37
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.15$9.30$12.41
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.30$9.50$13.97
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.50$9.41$14.38
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.41$9.67$14.08
20 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.67$11.37$12.75

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth76Value75Quality60Momentum97Total77
Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.6x
Forward P/E
14.7x
PEG
0.27
P/B
9.69x
EV / Revenue
1.6x
Book value/sh
$1.32
Enterprise value
$4.2B
Profitability
ROE
198.6%
FCF yield
4.05%
ROIC
10.8%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
7.79
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.95

Price

+41.9% · 1Y

Ask anything about AVAH

Answered from Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 80% of peers
low 0.0x10.6xhigh 57.9x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low -350%199%high 199%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 0.3%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
AVAH Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. Common Stock$13.38$143% below10.6x198.6%6077
ACHC Acadia Healthcare Company Inc. Common Stock$31.88----41.4%4348
MEDANTA.NS Global Health Limited₹1198.20--57.9x-8149
GRDN Guardian Pharmacy Services Inc. Class A Common Stock$39.59$2376% above38.3x30.4%6761
NH.NS Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited₹1693.20--40.7x-5952
BKD Brookdale Senior Living Inc. Common Stock$10.19----349.6%2625
MD Pediatrix Medical Group Inc. Common Stock$29.55$2326% above13.3x20.4%6974

Sector report card

Where AVAH ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 27, 2026
    Aveanna to Participate in the Deutsche Bank 2026 Healthcare Summit
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 25, 2026
    Aveanna to Participate in the 2026 Jefferies Healthcare Services and Technology Conference
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 13, 2026
    Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Announces Second Quarter Financial Results and Revised 2026 Guidance
1 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
Oct 2
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 24
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-24
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR