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AU
ACCE-researched

AngloGold Ashanti PLC Ordinary Shares (AU) fair value

Basic Materials · Gold · NYSE · United States
$83.59-1.88%
Market cap $43.1BNext earnings 2026-11-10Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 10% above our fair value
Price
$83.59
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$75.86
Model range
$39.50 to $121
Fair value $75.86
Price $83.59
3 models fit AngloGold Ashanti PLC Ordinary Shares and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Bronze58
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionAngloGold Ashanti PLC Ordinary Shares (AU)
Fair value (3 models)
$75.86
ACCE price target
$96.00
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CEST; previously $99.52 since 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $120 since 12 May 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $83.59 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
10.2% above
-9.2% to fair value
ACCE score
79
out of 100
Analysts
75% buy
8 covering
P/E
11.4x
forward 14.5x
1-year return
+21.8%
Dividend yield
5.31%

AngloGold Ashanti PLC Ordinary Shares in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

AngloGold Ashanti is a gold miner with operations across Africa, the Americas and Australia, selling unhedged or lightly hedged bullion and producing gold as its core product. Its moat is mostly asset quality and cost position rather than anything structural: a long-life, low-cost portfolio with high operating leverage to the gold price. Revenue grew 27.0% and the operating margin reached 51.2%, so the earnings base is expanding quickly while gold prices are firm. At a trailing P/E of 12.3 and a forward P/E of 14.5, the market is not pricing in the current margin structure as durable, which makes the cash generation the key thing to check. The forward multiple sitting above the trailing one implies consensus expects earnings to ease from this peak, so the question for a deeper look is how much of the 44.7% ROE survives a lower gold price and rising costs.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Momentum deceleration
    Sequential revenue declined 3.8% QoQ despite 27% YoY growth. Earnings growth of 50% YoY may not sustain if near-term trends persist.
  • moderate
    Quality score weakness
    ACCE Quality subscore is 96 but overall score 81 driven by Momentum at 52. Score fell 2 points in 90 days, signalling deteriorating momentum signals.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • The company generated $4.0B in free cash flow last year and trades at an 8.3% free cash flow yield with minimal debt.
  • Revenue has grown 27.0% year over year and 30.4% on a five-year average, with 32.2% net margins and a 5.0% dividend yield.
Why it could disappoint
  • Share count expanded 17.9% last fiscal year, diluting existing shareholders despite strong absolute cash generation.
  • The stock missed earnings expectations by 2.9% most recently, and the market is pricing in only 6.8% perpetual cash flow growth.
  • Analyst consensus fair value of $102.49 implies just 8.8% upside, with only 3 of 4 valuation models supporting the consensus.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 10, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where AU's valuation models land
Price
$83.59
Model fair value
$75.86
Model range
$39.50 to $121
Fair value $75.86
Price $83.59
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish75% buy · 8 covering analysts
● Strong buy 3● Buy 3● Hold 2● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-9.9%
1 month
-15.3%
3 months
+4.9%
6 months
-15.8%
YTD
-2.0%
1 year
+21.8%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTFair value$75.86$99.52$92.82
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$92.82
18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$96.00$120$92.82
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$99.52$102$91.65
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$102$126$94.16
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$126$107$94.92
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$107$128$92.77
23 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$128$131$102
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$131$129$102
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$129$131$100

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth88Value95Quality92Momentum39Total79
Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.4x
Forward P/E
14.5x
PEG
0.78
P/B
5.58x
EV / Revenue
4.1x
Book value/sh
$17.55
Enterprise value
$48.9B
Profitability
ROE
44.7%
FCF yield
7.21%
ROIC
20.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.30
Dividend yield
5.31%
Beta
0.74

Member of

ACCE Gold Miners

Price

+21.9% · 1Y

Ask anything about AU

Answered from AngloGold Ashanti PLC Ordinary Shares fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 67% of peers
low 7.1x11.4xhigh 31.8x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low 20%45%high 59%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.5%5.3%high 6.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
AU AngloGold Ashanti PLC Ordinary Shares$83.59$7610% above11.4x44.7%9279
FNV Franco-Nevada Corporation$231.94$115102% above31.8x19.9%9570
FNV.TO Franco-NevadaC$325.01C$138135% above29.2x19.9%9570
WPM.TO Wheaton Precious MetalsC$173.00C$8798% above27.2x23.5%9568
WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp Common Shares (Canada)$123.53$6299% above28.7x23.5%9568
GFI Gold Fields Limited American Depositary Shares$35.14$6848% below7.1x58.7%9278
ABX.TO Barrick GoldC$54.08C$7022% below10.0x27.0%9684

Sector report card

Where AU ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 15, 2026
    Celts Age Date Points to Arthur-Style Gold System; Company Expands Claims Ahead of Drilling
  • Business Wire•Sep 25, 2026
    AngloGold Ashanti Hosts Investor Site Visit to Nevada’s Beatty Gold District
  • Business Wire•Sep 25, 2026
    AngloGold Ashanti Plc Announces Appointment of Non-Executive Director
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
30 filings of 40
May 2026
May 8
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-03-31
View on SEC →
May 8
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-03-31
View on SEC →
May 8
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-03-31
View on SEC →
27 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR