3 models fit Amphenol Corporation Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze48
Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionAmphenol Corporation Common Stock (APH)
Fair value (3 models)
$48.33
ACCE price target
$84.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST; previously $65.68 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 3 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
Price used: $74.09 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
53.3% above
-34.8% to fair value
ACCE score
67
out of 100
Analysts
89% buy
19 covering
P/E
39.5x
forward 24.6x
1-year return
+9.5%
Dividend yield
0.58%
Amphenol Corporation Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
Amphenol makes the connectors, interconnect systems and sensors that link circuit boards, cables and sub-assemblies in everything from data-center switches to automotive electronics and defence hardware. Its edge is breadth and scale: thousands of small, engineered-to-spec parts sold into fragmented end markets, with a decentralised operating model that lets it win designs one customer at a time. The near-term driver is AI and data-center buildout, where high-speed interconnects and cabling demand is rising faster than most of its legacy businesses. Revenue growth of 55.0% and a 29.8% operating margin are unusually strong for a component maker, and the stock's forward multiple of 24.6 sits well below its trailing 42.9, which says the market expects earnings to catch up with the top line. A 38.1% return on equity on a $201.0B market cap makes this worth a deeper look, with the question being how much of the growth is durable rather than a cyclical surge.
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
Valuation disconnect with growth
P/E of 43.6 vs forward P/E of 26.2 implies market expects earnings growth to decelerate sharply.
high
Heavy insider selling
Last 10 disclosed transactions: $180.41M in sales, $0 in buys. Insider ownership flat at +0.5%. Pattern suggests insiders are trimming positions despite strong fundamentals.
moderate
Leverage elevated for cyclical sector
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.20 is material for electronic components, which face demand cyclicality. FCF of $3.8B is healthy, but debt load leaves less cushion if revenue growth stalls.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Revenue grew 55% year over year with a 22.3% five-year average, showing sustainable expansion beyond current cycle.
ROE of 38.1% and net margin of 17.7% demonstrate exceptional profitability and capital efficiency.
Why it could disappoint
Forward P/E of 26.2x exceeds the sector median of 29.4x, and consensus fair value sits 22.7% below current price.
Debt to equity of 1.20 funds acquisition-driven growth that may not sustain as AI and auto capex cycles normalize.
The stock price implies only 9.1% perpetual cash flow growth, below historical rates and vulnerable to any slowdown.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Next results
Oct 28, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle
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Valuation
INVESTOR
Where APH's valuation models land
Price
$74.09
Model fair value
$48.33
Model range
$30.02 to $74.56
Fair value $48.33
Price $74.09
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality
INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE
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