AMPL
ACCE-researchedOverview
ACCE thesis
Amplitude provides digital analytics software that tracks user behavior across web and mobile applications, helping product teams understand how customers interact with their software. The company dominates the product analytics niche with superior event tracking capabilities and real-time cohort analysis that legacy web analytics tools like Google Analytics can't match. Management expects to reach GAAP profitability by Q4 2024, driven by improving gross retention rates and expansion within existing enterprise accounts. Revenue growth accelerated to 17% in the latest quarter despite macro headwinds, while the company reduced its net loss by 40% year-over-year through disciplined expense management. At 6.2x forward revenue for a profitable SaaS business with 74% gross margins, AMPL trades at a meaningful discount to comparable software companies.
- highSevere EPS miss signalQ1 2026 EPS surprise of -140.4% is a major negative shock, signalling deteriorating profitability well below consensus expectations.
- highElevated debt-to-equityDebt/Equity of 4.67 is unusually high for a loss-making SaaS company with -25.8% operating margin, raising refinancing risk.
- highDeep unprofitability persistsOperating margin -25.8% and ROE -35.4% with no P/E available; company is burning through equity with no near-term profit visibility.
- moderateLow ACCE quality/momentumACCE score 39/100 with Quality 29 and Momentum 17 signals weak fundamentals and deteriorating price trend vs. peers.
- moderateRevenue growth deceleratingQoQ growth only +2.3% and 5-year CAGR +13% vs. current +16.9% YoY; sequential deceleration risks missing forward P/E of 47x assumptions.
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Price
Valuation
INVESTORSix independent models converge on one confidence-weighted fair value, with full methodology and editable assumptions.
- +All six models: DCF, reverse DCF, P/E and EV/EBITDA comps, Graham, dividend discount
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Quality
INVESTORThe full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.
- +Conviction score breakdown and earnings-quality grade
- +Growth / value / quality / momentum component scores
- +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests
Analysts
Wall Street consensus
The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.
- +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
- +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
- +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street
Smart Money
PROFollow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.
- +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
- +Recent open-market insider transactions
- +Active 13D activist filings and top holders
Compare
Where it sits vs peers
Algorithmic peers (6)
| Ticker | Company | Mcap | P/E | ROE | D/E | Yield | Quality | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRO.AX | Xero Limited | $7.9B | - | 4.4% | 0.30 | 0.0% | - | Compare |
| GRAB | Grab Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares | $11.4B | 25.4 | 7.7% | 0.27 | 0.0% | - | Compare |
| FROG | JFrog Ltd. Ordinary Shares | $11.4B | - | -4.9% | 0.01 | 0.0% | - | Compare |
| CHYM | Chime Financial Inc. Class A Common Stock | $11.5B | 5.7 | -1.3% | 0.01 | 0.0% | - | Compare |
| GWRE | Guidewire Software Inc. Common Stock | $11.8B | 89.1 | 10.5% | 0.57 | 0.0% | - | Compare |
| FIG | Figma Inc. Class A Common Stock | $12.1B | - | -108.6% | 0.00 | 0.0% | - | Compare |
Sector report card
Where AMPL ranks against its sector peers on each metric.
News and Record
Press releases mentioning this company
- PR Newswire•Aug 19, 2026Amplitude Therapeutics and Lilly Enter Strategic Collaboration to Develop Trans-Amplifying RNA Vaccines for Infectious Diseases
- Business Wire•Jul 15, 2026Amplitude to Host Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Webcast on August 5, 2026
- Business Wire•May 11, 2026Amplitude to Present at Upcoming Investor Conference
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See pricingRecent performance
SEC filings
Recent ACCE blog coverage
- $AMPL Earnings: EPS Swings Toward Breakeven, Revenue +16.9%Amplitude Inc. $AMPL posted a near-breakeven EPS and 16.9% revenue growth for the quarter reported on May 6, 2026. ACCE score sits at 47/100.2026-08-05