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AMD
ACCE-researched

Advanced Micro Devices Inc. Common Stock (AMD) fair value

Technology · Semiconductors · NASDAQ · United States
$516.79+1.74%
Market cap $843.6BNext earnings 2026-11-03Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 146% above our fair value
Price
$516.79
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$210
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionAdvanced Micro Devices Inc. Common Stock (AMD)
Fair value (3 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$615
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 2 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $517 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
71
out of 100
Analysts
80% buy
55 covering
P/E
131.8x
forward 32.8x
1-year return
+119.9%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Advanced Micro Devices Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Advanced Micro Devices designs data center GPUs (the Instinct accelerator line), EPYC server CPUs, Ryzen and Radeon client and graphics chips, and embedded processors, selling mostly to hyperscalers and PC and server OEMs. Its structural edge is the EPYC franchise, where AMD has taken server share from Intel while keeping a chiplet design that yields cheaper, denser silicon than monolithic rivals. The near-term driver is AI accelerator revenue ramping alongside the Instinct roadmap and the data center CPU cycle, which together underpin revenue growth of 50.1%. The stock trades at 39.5 times forward earnings against 143.4 times trailing, so the market is pricing a large step-up in earnings that has yet to appear in reported results. Gross margin of 55.7% and operating margin of 17.3% give the company room to absorb pricing pressure from Nvidia, but a 10.2% return on equity says the earnings power has not yet flowed through to shareholders at scale, which is the core question for a deeper look.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Valuation disconnect from fundamentals
    P/E of 155.1 vs forward P/E of 39.5 implies earnings expected to fall 75% next year. Current price $608.10 near fair value $615, but wide range ($480-$750) and V score of 14/100 signal high uncertainty.
  • moderate
    Earnings growth sustainability risk
    YoY earnings up 159.5% but revenue up only 50.1%. Margin expansion driving profit growth; if gross margin (55.7%) or operating leverage normalizes, earnings could decelerate sharply.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue surged 50.1% year over year with a 28.8% five-year average, showing sustained acceleration in a competitive market.
  • Strong free cash flow of 6.7B and minimal debt at 0.07x equity provide resources to fund R&D and shareholder returns.
  • Latest earnings beat expectations by 23.0% and 80% of analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy.
Why it could disappoint
  • Trailing P/E of 155.1x and forward P/E of 39.5x versus sector median 29.4x embed years of flawless execution.
  • Free cash flow yield of 0.7% is extremely thin, leaving minimal margin of safety at current valuation.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 3, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where AMD's valuation models land
Price
$516.79
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$210
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish80% buy · 55 covering analysts
● Strong buy 39● Buy 5● Hold 11● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
9 buys · 2 sells
Since Apr 14, 2026, 4 members
Average delay
20 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

Compare AMD with another stock

AMD vs NVDAAMD vs INTCAAPL vs AMDAMD vs ASMLAMD vs AVGOAMD vs MSFT

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-2.3%
1 month
-15.9%
3 months
-1.0%
6 months
+48.6%
YTD
+141.3%
1 year
+119.9%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
8 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$51.25$50.15$649
2 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$615first publication$616
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$50.15$51.26$631
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$51.26$50.67$624
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$50.67$51.61$560
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$51.61$50.96$504
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$50.96$52.24$516
13 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$52.24$54.14$516
10 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$54.14$51.62$506
8 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$51.62$53.42$478

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth100Value14Quality74Momentum97Total71
Valuation
Trailing P/E
131.8x
Forward P/E
32.8x
PEG
0.88
P/B
14.93x
EV / Revenue
24.1x
Book value/sh
$41.19
Enterprise value
$994.5B
Profitability
ROE
10.2%
FCF yield
0.75%
ROIC
5.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.07
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
2.45

Member of

ACCE AI InfrastructureACCE Smart MoneyACCE Semiconductors

Price

+104.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about AMD

Answered from Advanced Micro Devices Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 11.8x131.8xhigh 131.8x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -11%10%high 93%
Div yieldbetter than 17% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 1.2%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
AMD Advanced Micro Devices Inc. Common Stock$516.79--131.8x10.2%7471
MU Micron Technology Inc. Common Stock$856.49$68525% above11.8x88.3%10095
000660.KS SK hynixKRW 1223000.00KRW 553061121% above-92.7%10084
AVGO Broadcom Inc. Common Stock$323.24$19864% above41.1x44.3%9162
INTC Intel Corporation Common Stock$85.49----10.7%4448
2330.TW Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturingTWD 2385.00TWD 190825% above24.5x41.9%10084
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.$412.35$29839% above27.1x41.9%10083

Sector report card

Where AMD ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 13, 2026
    MSI Showcases Open Data Center and AI Infrastructure at 2026 OCP Global Summit
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 28, 2026
    AMD to Acquire World Labs to Advance the Future of AI Compute
  • PR Newswire•Sep 3, 2026
    ASUS Advances AI Factories with Integrated Infrastructure and Operational Governance
2 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 19
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 28
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-26
View on SEC →
Sep 17
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-15
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR