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AEBI

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Common Stock (AEBI) fair value

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · NASDAQ · United States
$11.05-1.25%
Market cap $868MNext earnings 2026-11-12Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 36% below our fair value
Price
$11.05
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$17.22
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionAebi Schmidt Holding AG Common Stock (AEBI)
Fair value (3 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$12.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 13 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $11.05 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
48
out of 100
Analysts
67% buy
3 covering
P/E
36.1x
forward 10.0x
1-year return
-5.2%
Dividend yield
0.89%

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Aebi Schmidt makes municipal and specialty vehicles, including snow-removal and winter maintenance equipment, street sweepers, and compact tractors and loaders sold to farms and utilities through its Aebi Schmidt and Schmidt Group brands. Its edge is a dealer and service network across North America and Europe that makes its equipment hard to displace once a city or contractor standardises a fleet. Revenue growth of 78.7% is the headline, though the business is still thin, with a 5.6% operating margin and a 3.6% ROE, so the question is whether the acquired volume converts into earnings. The forward P/E of 10.0 against a trailing 36.2 suggests the market expects earnings to recover sharply, which is the claim a PM should test in the filings before anything else.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings collapse despite revenue growth
    Revenue grew 78.7% year over year, but earnings fell 82.0%. Net margin is only 1.1%, so the acquired revenue is not converting to profit.
  • high
    Negative free cash flow
    Free cash flow was -$5,233,000 while debt-to-equity sits at 0.93. The company is consuming cash to run and grow while carrying meaningful leverage.
  • moderate
    Heavy short interest
    Short interest is 16.4% of the float. That is a sizeable bet against the stock and adds volatility risk for position sizing.
  • moderate
    ACCE score deteriorated
    The ACCE score fell from 55 to 48 over 90 days, with quality and momentum both at 34. The trend has weakened even as the growth score held at 64.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 78.7% year over year, well above its 22.6% average annual pace over five years.
  • The forward P/E of 10.0x compares with a sector median forward P/E of 23.6x, so the stock looks cheap on expected earnings.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months was negative at -$5M, and the free cash flow yield is -0.6%.
  • Return on invested capital is only 0.5% and net margin is 1.1%, so the growth is not yet turning into meaningful profit.
  • Debt to equity of 0.93 leaves the balance sheet carrying significant borrowing while cash generation is negative.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 12, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where AEBI's valuation models land
Price
$11.05
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$17.22
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish67% buy · 3 covering analysts
● Strong buy 2● Buy 0● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-0.4%
1 month
-4.7%
3 months
-15.6%
6 months
-3.7%
YTD
-12.6%
1 year
-5.2%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
13 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$12.00first publication$11.02
6 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$12.25$12.05$10.91
2 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$12.05$12.32$10.58
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$12.32$12.56$11.00
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$12.56$13.17$11.00
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$13.17$13.56$12.06
11 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$13.56$13.97$12.36
6 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$13.97$14.42$12.95
3 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$14.42$14.67$12.05
31 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$14.67$13.59$12.35

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value58Quality34Momentum34Total48
Valuation
Trailing P/E
36.1x
Forward P/E
10.0x
PEG
no data
P/B
1.09x
EV / Revenue
0.8x
Book value/sh
$10.68
Enterprise value
$1.6B
Profitability
ROE
3.6%
FCF yield
-0.60%
ROIC
0.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.93
Dividend yield
0.89%
Beta
no data

Price

-3.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about AEBI

Answered from Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 50% of peers
low 10.8x36.1xhigh 45.8x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low 3%4%high 39%
Div yieldbetter than 17% of peers
low 0.0%0.9%high 3.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
AEBI Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Common Stock $11.05--36.1x3.6%3448
ASTE Astec Industries Inc. Common Stock$38.90$5327% below45.8x2.9%4345
MTU.PA Manitou BF SA€19.52€3748% below10.8x9.0%4868
MTW Manitowoc Company Inc. (The) Common Stock$22.15$1545% above41.0x2.9%3462
LNN Lindsay Corporation Common Stock$111.99$9419% above19.8x10.7%6345
ENGCON-B.ST engcon AB (publ)kr 73.20kr 30141% above43.8x38.8%8158
IMD.AX Imdex LimitedA$3.26A$329% above20.9x12.1%7563

Sector report card

Where AEBI ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 13, 2026
    Aebi Schmidt Group Reports 22% Increase in Adjusted EBITDA, 16% Growth in Order Intake and 9% Increase in Net Sales, Reflecting Strong Order Momentum and Over-Proportional Profitability Improvement
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 21, 2026
    Aebi Schmidt Group declares quarterly dividend of $0.025 per share and will announce second quarter 2026 earnings on August 13, 2026
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 13, 2026
    Aebi Schmidt Group Marks One Year After the Acquisition of The Shyft Group and NASDAQ Listing: Delivering on Commitments and Outlining the Long-Term Growth Strategy
4 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
September 2026
Sep 25
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-05-21
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 13
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-13
View on SEC →
Aug 13
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR