ABBV

ACCE-researched
AbbVie Inc. Common Stock
Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General · NYSE · United States
$263.96-0.02%
Market cap $466.4BNext earnings 2026-10-30Updated Sep 21, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$263.96+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 4 of 6 models
Now $263.96
$263.96
$65.89$327.36
AvoidSilver73
Price vs fair value
60.0% above
-37.5% to fair value
ACCE score
70
out of 100
Analysts
57% buy
28 covering
P/E
74.6x
forward 16.3x
1-year return
+18.9%
Dividend yield
2.59%
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Overview

ACCE thesis

AbbVie manufactures immunology drugs led by Humira, oncology treatments including Imbruvica, and neuroscience therapies, generating $58 billion in annual revenue. The company's immunology franchise dominates with Skyrizi and Rinvoq posting 50%+ growth rates as Humira biosimilar erosion accelerates in the US market. Management expects these two drugs to reach $27 billion in combined peak sales by 2027, driven by expanded indications in inflammatory bowel disease and atopic dermatitis. The forward PE of 12.8x reflects the market's myopic focus on Humira's decline while ignoring that Skyrizi alone generated $7.7 billion in 2023 revenue. Free cash flow remains robust at $23 billion annually, funding a 3.8% dividend yield that's increased for 12 consecutive years.

Written May 5, 2026
Investor warnings · 4 flags
  • high
    Earnings collapsed 46%
    YoY earnings down 46.2% while revenue grew 12.4%, signaling severe cost pressure or one-time charges crushing profitability.
  • high
    Negative equity, extreme leverage
    Debt/Equity of -20.91 indicates negative book equity, meaning liabilities massively exceed assets - structurally fragile balance sheet.
  • moderate
    Net margin vs gross margin gap
    Gross margin 72% but net margin only 5.8%, implying enormous below-gross-profit costs consuming nearly all earnings.
  • moderate
    Trailing P/E severely inflated
    P/E of 122.2x vs forward P/E 17.4x reflects depressed current earnings; any earnings recovery delay makes current valuation expensive.
Reports in 38 days, last quarter beat by 0.0%.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Price

+18.6% · 1Y

Valuation

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Full valuation engine INVESTOR FEATURE

Six independent models converge on one confidence-weighted fair value, with full methodology and editable assumptions.

  • +All six models: DCF, P/E and EV/EBITDA comps, Graham, dividend discount, residual income
  • +Scenario bands, sensitivity tornado, and the 5-year historical valuation range
  • +Editable DCF workbench with saved scenarios

Quality

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Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.

  • +Conviction score breakdown and earnings-quality grade
  • +Growth / value / quality / momentum component scores
  • +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed57% buy · 28 covering analysts
Strong buy 12 Buy 4 Hold 12 Sell 0 Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Recent open-market insider transactions
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 21.0x74.6xhigh 117.5x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low 7%62%high 62%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 1.9%2.6%high 4.0%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
MRKMerck & Company Inc. Common Stock (new)$362.4B117.57.0%0.942.3%-Compare
JNJJohnson & Johnson Common Stock$650.6B31.425.7%0.591.9%-Compare
NVSNovartis AG Common Stock$266.8B21.230.3%0.733.4%-Compare
NOVN.SWNovartis$265.0B21.030.3%0.734.0%-Compare
AZN.LAstraZeneca$258.7B25.022.0%0.572.6%-Compare
AZNAstraZeneca PLC Ordinary Shares$257.6B24.922.0%0.571.9%-Compare

Sector report card

Where ABBV ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

Reports in 38 days, last quarter beat by 0.0%.

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Recent performance

1 week
+2.7%
1 month
-0.8%
3 months
+21.9%
6 months
+28.7%
YTD
+15.5%
1 year
+18.9%

SEC filings

40 filings
September 2026
Sep 3
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-03
August 2026
Aug 18
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-18
Aug 18
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-14
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR