AZN

ACCE-researched
AstraZeneca PLC Ordinary Shares
Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General · NYSE · United States
$166.08-0.04%
Market cap $257.6BNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Sep 20, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$166.08+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 3 of 6 models
Now $166.08
$166.08
$127.81$258.46
BuyBronze48
Price vs fair value
19.3% below
+24.0% to fair value
ACCE score
59
out of 100
Analysts
90% buy
10 covering
P/E
24.9x
forward 14.5x
1-year return
+7.7%
Dividend yield
1.94%
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Overview

ACCE thesis

AstraZeneca develops and commercializes prescription medicines across oncology, rare diseases, respiratory, cardiovascular, renal, metabolism, and vaccines, with particular strength in cancer immunotherapy through drugs like Tagrisso and Imfinzi. The company's oncology franchise generates over $15 billion annually and benefits from durable patent protection on key assets, while its rare disease portfolio commands premium pricing with limited competition. Management expects the recently launched RSV vaccine Arexvy to reach blockbuster status within three years, adding to momentum from diabetes drug Farxiga which posted 35% growth in Q3. Despite trading at 31x forward earnings, AZN generates 23.5% ROE with 81% gross margins, and the pipeline includes 185 projects with multiple late-stage oncology combinations that could drive growth beyond 2030. The stock has lagged peers by 15% over the past year despite accelerating revenue growth, creating an entry point into pharma's most consistent growth story.

Written May 12, 2026
Investor warnings · 3 flags
  • moderate
    Earnings growth deceleration
    Revenue growing 12.5% YoY but earnings only +5.3%, suggesting rising costs are compressing net margin to 17.2%.
  • moderate
    Sequential revenue decline
    QoQ revenue growth of -1.4% signals near-term momentum stalling despite strong annual headline growth.
  • moderate
    Low governance/value scores
    ACCE Growth score 52 and Value score 55 are below-average, suggesting limited near-term re-rating catalyst despite 18% discount to fair value.
Reports in 44 days, last quarter beat by 0.1%.

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Price

+7.1% · 1Y

Valuation

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Full valuation engine INVESTOR FEATURE

Six independent models converge on one confidence-weighted fair value, with full methodology and editable assumptions.

  • +All six models: DCF, P/E and EV/EBITDA comps, Graham, dividend discount, residual income
  • +Scenario bands, sensitivity tornado, and the 5-year historical valuation range
  • +Editable DCF workbench with saved scenarios

Quality

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Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.

  • +Conviction score breakdown and earnings-quality grade
  • +Growth / value / quality / momentum component scores
  • +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish90% buy · 10 covering analysts
Strong buy 7 Buy 2 Hold 1 Sell 0 Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Recent open-market insider transactions
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 10.7x24.9xhigh 25.0x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low 22%22%high 91%
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 1.9%1.9%high 4.2%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
AZN.LAstraZeneca$258.7B25.022.0%0.572.6%-Compare
NOVN.SWNovartis$265.0B21.030.3%0.734.0%-Compare
NVSNovartis AG Common Stock$266.8B21.230.3%0.733.4%-Compare
AMGNAmgen Inc. Common Stock$208.5B24.091.5%6.312.6%-Compare
NVONovo Nordisk A/S Common Stock$191.0B10.759.8%0.674.2%-Compare
NOVO-B.CONovo Nordisk B$190.7B10.759.8%0.634.2%-Compare

Sector report card

Where AZN ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

Reports in 44 days, last quarter beat by 0.1%.

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Recent performance

1 week
+3.7%
1 month
+0.7%
3 months
-5.1%
6 months
-9.5%
YTD
-9.7%
1 year
+7.7%

SEC filings

40 filings
September 2026
Sep 18
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-18
Sep 15
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-15
Sep 15
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-15
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR