CMCSA
Analizado por ACCEResumen
Tesis ACCE
Comcast bundles broadband infrastructure, NBC/Telemundo broadcast networks, Peacock streaming, and Universal theme parks into a cash-generating conglomerate that still controls the last-mile connection for roughly 32 million residential internet subscribers. The broadband moat is real - switching costs are high and overbuilder competition, while real in select markets, hasn't materially dented ARPU, which continues to drift upward as customers trade into higher-speed tiers. Peacock crossed 36 million paid subscribers and is inflecting toward profitability after years of drag, removing the single biggest overhang on segment-level margins. The stock trades at 4.9x trailing earnings and under 7x forward - a multiple more consistent with a melting cable box than a company generating $15B+ in annual operating cash flow, which management has been returning aggressively through buybacks that have reduced share count by double digits over the past five years. The cord-cutting narrative is priced in and then some; the question is whether broadband pricing power and theme park momentum - Orlando attendance records in 2023, Epic Universe opening in 2025 - are enough to re-rate a name the market has effectively written off.
- altoEarnings collapse severeEarnings YoY down 66.8% is a dramatic deterioration, far exceeding any revenue decline of -1.2%, signaling significant one-time charges or structural margin erosion.
- altoDebt load elevatedDebt/Equity of 100.47 is extremely high; while FCF of $12.7B provides coverage, rising rates and cord-cutting pressure amplify refinancing risk.
- moderadoRevenue growth stagnant5-year revenue CAGR of just 0.6% and current YoY decline of -1.2% indicate Comcast is effectively a no-growth business facing secular headwinds.
- moderadoACCE score deterioratingScore dropped 6 points in 90 days (55→49), with Momentum at just 23/100, reflecting weakening price trend and negative near-term sentiment.
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Precio
Valoración
INVESTORSeis modelos independientes convergen en un único valor razonable ponderado por la confianza, con metodología completa y supuestos editables.
- +Los seis modelos: DCF, comparables por PER y VE/EBITDA, Graham, descuento de dividendos y beneficio residual
- +Bandas de escenarios, tornado de sensibilidad y el rango de valoración histórica de 5 años
- +Simulador DCF editable con escenarios guardados
Calidad
INVESTORLa calidad al completo: desglose de la convicción, calidad de los beneficios, historial de puntuaciones y rentabilidades simuladas (backtest).
- +Desglose de la puntuación de convicción y nota de calidad de los beneficios
- +Puntuaciones de los componentes crecimiento / valor / calidad / momentum
- +Historial de puntuaciones de 90 días y backtests por umbral de puntuación
Analistas
Consenso de Wall Street
La visión completa de los analistas: la distribución de precios objetivo frente al precio actual, las estimaciones de consenso futuras y cómo se comparan con los modelos propios de ACCE.
- +Precio objetivo bajo / medio / alto frente al precio actual, con potencial implícito
- +Consenso a futuro de ingresos y BPA por ejercicio fiscal
- +Los modelos de valor razonable de ACCE frente al consenso del mercado
Smart money
PROSigue a las instituciones: variaciones de posiciones 13F, operaciones de directivos y registros 13D activistas.
- +Variaciones trimestrales de las posiciones institucionales
- +Operaciones recientes de directivos en el mercado
- +Registros 13D activistas activos y principales tenedores
Comparar
Posición frente a los comparables
Comparables algorítmicos (6)
| Ticker | Empresa | Cap. | P/E | ROE | D/E | Rent. div. | Calidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9434.T | SoftBank | 75.461 M$ | 22.0 | 16,7 % | 159.99 | 3,6 % | - | Comparar |
| 9433.T | KDDI | 71.914 M$ | 16.7 | 14,6 % | 93.80 | 2,8 % | - | Comparar |
| 9432.T | Nippon Telegraph and Telephone | 91.547 M$ | 14.1 | 10,7 % | 168.40 | 3,1 % | - | Comparar |
| Z74.SI | Singtel | 55.225 M$ | 12.7 | 20,5 % | 40.67 | 3,1 % | - | Comparar |
| BHARTIARTL.NS | Bharti Airtel | 118.894 M$ | 38.1 | 20,2 % | 100.42 | 1,3 % | - | Comparar |
| ORA.PA | Orange | 45.898 M$ | 10.2 | 14,2 % | 0.29 | 4,7 % | - | Comparar |
Comparativa sectorial
Posición de CMCSA frente a sus comparables del sector en cada métrica.
Noticias e historial
Comunicados que mencionan a esta empresa
- Business Wire•17 sept 2026FreeWheel Brings Attention, Quality and Emotional Resonance Signals into CTV Buying
- Business Wire•15 sept 2026Comcast to Host Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call
- Business Wire•15 sept 2026Xfinity and Comcast Business Services Now Available in Beaufort and Edisto, South Carolina
Pregunta lo que quieras, función Pro
Haz preguntas sobre esta acción en lenguaje natural. Las respuestas se basan en los fundamentales de la empresa y en las valoraciones recientes.
Rendimiento reciente
Registros SEC
Cobertura reciente del blog de ACCE
- TTD, CMCSA, NFLX, BABA, ORCL: Open Picks Scorecard 2026TTD is down 74.6% over one year and logged a confirmed loss. Here's how every open ACCE pick, CMCSA, NFLX, BABA, ORCL, BSX and more, stands today.2026-08-24
- $CMCSA ACCE Score Jumps 13 Points to 68 - What Drove ItComcast's ACCE composite score moved from 55 to 68. Here's what likely drove the +13-point shift and what the data says now.2026-06-25