TWLO

ACCE-researched
Twilio Inc. Class A Common Stock
Technology · Software - Infrastructure · NYSE · United States
$243.84-0.97%
Market cap $37.4BNext earnings 2026-10-29Updated Sep 20, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$243.84+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 3 of 6 models
Now $243.84
$243.84
$53.21$164.01
AvoidBronze55
Price vs fair value
240.0% above
-70.6% to fair value
ACCE score
72
out of 100
Analysts
65% buy
31 covering
P/E
33.7x
forward 36.5x
1-year return
+125.0%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Unlock the ACCE read
INVESTOR

Overview

Investor warnings · 4 flags
  • high
    Massive insider selling
    Last 10 transactions show $324.3M in sales, $0 in buys - insiders aggressively offloading at current prices.
  • high
    Valuation extremely stretched
    P/E 334x, EV/EBITDA 72x on 2% net margin; priced for perfection with little room for execution miss.
  • moderate
    Net margin razor-thin
    Despite 48.7% gross margin, net margin is only 2.0%, indicating heavy opex burden limiting earnings quality.
  • moderate
    Revenue growth decelerating
    QoQ growth only 3.0% vs 20% YoY; sequential deceleration may signal slowing momentum in core business.
Reports in 38 days, last quarter beat by 0.2%.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Price

+131.8% · 1Y

Valuation

INVESTOR
Full valuation engine INVESTOR FEATURE

Six independent models converge on one confidence-weighted fair value, with full methodology and editable assumptions.

  • +All six models: DCF, P/E and EV/EBITDA comps, Graham, dividend discount, residual income
  • +Scenario bands, sensitivity tornado, and the 5-year historical valuation range
  • +Editable DCF workbench with saved scenarios

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.

  • +Conviction score breakdown and earnings-quality grade
  • +Growth / value / quality / momentum component scores
  • +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish65% buy · 31 covering analysts
Strong buy 11 Buy 9 Hold 9 Sell 2 Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Recent open-market insider transactions
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0x33.7xhigh 525.4x
ROEbetter than 67% of peers
low -44%14%high 115%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 1.1%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
NTAPNetApp Inc. Common Stock$38.8B27.9114.8%1.871.1%-Compare
ZSZscaler Inc. Common Stock$32.2B--2.9%0.680.0%-Compare
OKTAOkta Inc. Class A Common Stock$31.9B109.94.3%0.050.0%-Compare
ADYEN.ASAdyen$31.8B24.721.3%0.010.0%-Compare
CRWVCoreWeave Inc. Class A Common Stock$44.9B--43.6%6.410.0%-Compare
MDBMongoDB Inc. Class A Common Stock$30.9B525.42.0%0.000.0%-Compare

Sector report card

Where TWLO ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

Reports in 38 days, last quarter beat by 0.2%.

Ask anything, Pro feature

Ask questions about this stock in plain language. Answered from company fundamentals + recent valuations.

PRO

Recent performance

1 week
+7.3%
1 month
+9.9%
3 months
+31.0%
6 months
+96.5%
YTD
+71.4%
1 year
+125.0%

SEC filings

40 filings
September 2026
Sep 17
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-15
Sep 17
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-15
Sep 17
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-15
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR