PEP

ACCE-researched
PepsiCo Inc. Common Stock
Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · NASDAQ · United States
$129.75-2.93%
Market cap $177.2BNext earnings 2026-10-08Updated Sep 18, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$129.75+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 4 of 6 models
Now $129.75
$129.75
$89.48$161.60
HoldBronze48
Price vs fair value
5.2% below
+5.4% to fair value
ACCE score
58
out of 100
Analysts
26% buy
23 covering
P/E
17.0x
forward 14.5x
1-year return
-7.8%
Dividend yield
4.56%
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Overview

ACCE thesis

PepsiCo manufactures and distributes a portfolio of beverage and convenient food brands across 200+ countries, with Frito-Lay North America alone generating over $23B in annual revenue at margins that embarrass most packaged food peers. The company's distribution infrastructure - particularly its direct-store-delivery network - functions as a structural moat that private label and emerging brands cannot replicate at scale. The near-term catalyst is margin recovery: input cost deflation in grains and oils is flowing through the P&L after two years of compression, and management has guided for high-single-digit EPS growth in 2024. At a forward P/E of 16.8x, the stock trades at a meaningful discount to its five-year average of roughly 24x, reflecting transient volume softness from consumer trade-down rather than any deterioration in the franchise itself. A 43.9% ROE with the balance sheet leverage PepsiCo carries tells you this business generates exceptional returns on the underlying equity - the current price is a function of sentiment, not fundamentals.

Written Jun 14, 2026
Investor warnings · 3 flags
  • moderate
    ACCE Momentum score collapse
    Momentum fell 5 points (62→57) in 90 days. M:31 is weak relative to other pillars, signalling recent underperformance or sentiment shift.
  • moderate
    Elevated leverage with modest FCF coverage
    Debt/Equity 2.41 is high. FCF $7.7B covers debt servicing but leaves limited cushion for downturns or capital returns.
  • moderate
    Earnings spike may not be sustainable
    YoY earnings +137% is outsized relative to revenue +6.4%. Likely one-time gains or accounting items; normalisation risk ahead.
Reports in 17 days, last quarter beat by 0.0%.

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Price

-8.0% · 1Y

Valuation

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Quality

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Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish26% buy · 23 covering analysts
Strong buy 4 Buy 2 Hold 16 Sell 0 Strong sell 1
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  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

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  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 17.0x17.0xhigh 41.4x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low 5%52%high 52%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%4.6%high 4.6%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
MNSTMonster Beverage Corporation$87.6B41.425.7%-0.250.0%-Compare
KOCoca-Cola Company (The) Common Stock$379.7B26.542.0%1.412.4%-Compare
9633.HKNongfu Spring Co., Ltd.$55.3B23.450.0%0.110.0%-Compare
CCEP.LCoca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC$44.1B19.723.5%1.282.7%-Compare
CCEPCoca-Cola Europacific Partners plc Ordinary Shares$43.9B19.623.5%1.282.4%-Compare
KDPKeurig Dr Pepper Inc. Common Stock$42.1B31.35.1%0.632.9%-Compare

Sector report card

Where PEP ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

Reports in 17 days, last quarter beat by 0.0%.

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Recent performance

1 week
-4.8%
1 month
-9.0%
3 months
-8.6%
6 months
-13.5%
YTD
-9.6%
1 year
-7.8%

SEC filings

40 filings
September 2026
Sep 17
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-17
August 2026
Aug 7
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-06
Aug 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-03
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR

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