MSGS

ACCE-researched
Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. Class A Common Stock (New)
Communication Services · Entertainment · NYSE · United States
$398.75+1.04%
Market cap $9.6BNext earnings 2026-10-30Updated Sep 20, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$398.75+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 2 of 6 models
Now $398.75
$398.75
$53.00$53.00
AvoidBronze53
Price vs fair value
875.3% above
-89.7% to fair value
ACCE score
60
out of 100
Analysts
63% buy
8 covering
P/E
1246.1x
forward -2079.0x
1-year return
+85.1%
Dividend yield
0.00%
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Overview

⚠ Investor warnings · 5 flags
  • severe
    Extreme valuation distortion
    Forward P/E of -1134 and EV/EBITDA of -440 signal deeply negative earnings expectations; company is loss-making with -2.1% net margin.
  • high
    EPS miss catastrophic
    Q1 2026 EPS surprise of -258.8% indicates actual earnings dramatically worse than consensus estimates.
  • high
    Near-zero operating leverage
    Operating margin only 0.7% on +1.9% revenue growth; minimal buffer against cost increases or revenue shortfalls.
  • moderate
    Low ACCE score
    Overall score 41/100 with Growth at 25 and Value at 11, indicating poor fundamental quality despite high Momentum (97).
  • moderate
    Insider net selling
    No insider buys vs. $4.9M in sales over last 10 disclosed transactions; insiders reducing exposure at current prices.
Reports in 39 days, last quarter beat by 0.5%.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Price

+85.1% · 1Y

Valuation

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Full valuation engine INVESTOR FEATURE

Six independent models converge on one confidence-weighted fair value, with full methodology and editable assumptions.

  • +All six models: DCF, P/E and EV/EBITDA comps, Graham, dividend discount, residual income
  • +Scenario bands, sensitivity tornado, and the 5-year historical valuation range
  • +Editable DCF workbench with saved scenarios

Quality

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Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.

  • +Conviction score breakdown and earnings-quality grade
  • +Growth / value / quality / momentum component scores
  • +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish63% buy · 8 covering analysts
● Strong buy 4● Buy 1● Hold 3● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Recent open-market insider transactions
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0x1246.1xhigh 1246.1x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -12%-12%high 70%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 4.0%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
SIRISiriusXM Holdings Inc. Common Stock$9.2B11.07.6%0.844.0%-Compare
LLYVKLiberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group Common Stock$8.9B-0.0%-33.960.0%-Compare
LLYVALiberty Live Holdings Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock$8.6B-0.0%-33.960.0%-Compare
PSKYParamount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock$11.4B340.3-0.9%1.172.0%-Compare
WMGWarner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock$14.7B22.470.1%6.812.9%-Compare
NWSANews Corporation Class A Common Stock$16.0B28.98.0%0.240.7%-Compare

Sector report card

Where MSGS ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

Reports in 39 days, last quarter beat by 0.5%.

Press releases mentioning this company

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Recent performance

1 week
+1.7%
1 month
-1.0%
3 months
+7.7%
6 months
+29.8%
YTD
+54.2%
1 year
+85.1%

SEC filings

40 filings
September 2026
Sep 17
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-15
Sep 17
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-15
Sep 17
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-15
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR