BIDU

ACCE-researched
Baidu Inc. ADS
Communication Services · Internet Content & Information · NASDAQ · United States
$89.93-0.11%
Market cap $30.7BNext earnings 2026-08-18Updated Sep 19, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$89.93+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 4 of 6 models
Now $89.93
$89.93
$70.17$101.48
Hold
Price vs fair value
2.5% above
-2.5% to fair value
ACCE score
27
out of 100
Analysts
85% buy
33 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 18.7x
1-year return
-33.5%
Dividend yield
0.00%
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Overview

ACCE thesis

Baidu operates China's dominant search engine with 76% market share and runs the country's most advanced autonomous driving program through Apollo Go, which logged 899,000 rides in Q3 2024. The company's AI cloud services revenue jumped 11% year-over-year as Chinese enterprises accelerate adoption of Baidu's large language model ERNIE, now powering over 200,000 applications. Apollo Go's robotaxi fleet expanded to 500 vehicles across 11 cities, generating meaningful revenue for the first time while regulators signal broader commercial approvals coming in 2025. Trading at just 16x forward earnings despite controlling critical AI infrastructure in the world's second-largest economy, Baidu offers asymmetric upside as autonomous driving monetization accelerates and search margins recover from this year's AI investment cycle.

Written May 14, 2026
Investor warnings · 5 flags
  • severe
    Massive negative FCF
    FCF is -$16.43B, a deeply alarming cash burn relative to $37.3B market cap, signaling serious capital consumption.
  • high
    Earnings collapsed 59%
    EPS down 59.3% YoY with net margin at just 1.0% and trailing P/E showing zero, indicating near-zero profitability.
  • high
    ACCE score collapse
    Score dropped 12 points in 90 days (47→35), reflecting rapid deterioration across multiple fundamental dimensions.
  • high
    Insider selling only
    Last 10 disclosures show $0 buys vs $16.08M in sales; insiders are exclusively selling at current prices.
  • moderate
    Revenue declining, decelerating
    Revenue down 1.2% YoY and -2.0% QoQ; 5y CAGR of 31.4% masks a sharp recent growth reversal.

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Price

-34.2% · 1Y

Valuation

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Full valuation engine INVESTOR FEATURE

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Quality

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  • +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish85% buy · 33 covering analysts
Strong buy 23 Buy 5 Hold 4 Sell 1 Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Recent open-market insider transactions
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 35.1x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -1%-1%high 35%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 2.1%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
9888.HKBaidu, Inc.$30.3B--1.4%0.340.0%-Compare
RDDTReddit Inc. Class A Common Stock$29.0B35.130.7%0.000.0%-Compare
035420.KSNAVER$21.3B-6.4%0.111.3%-Compare
1024.HKKuaishou Technology$16.9B7.420.6%0.312.1%-Compare
NBISNebius Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares$60.8B-0.6%0.890.0%-Compare
REA.AXREA Group Limited$14.6B30.634.9%0.001.9%-Compare

Sector report card

Where BIDU ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

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Recent performance

1 week
-1.6%
1 month
-3.2%
3 months
-19.5%
6 months
-21.3%
YTD
-31.2%
1 year
-33.5%

SEC filings

39 filings of 40
September 2026
Sep 18
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-18
Sep 17
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-17
Sep 17
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-17
36 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR

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