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Ticker UpdateTuesday, June 16, 2026

$TCOM Score Jumps 18 Points to 91 — What's Driving It

Trip.com's ACCE composite score surged from 73 to 91. Here's what the data says about growth, value, quality, and what to watch.

Adrien Chantreuil
Adrien Chantreuil
Founder, ACCE Investments

What changed

TCOM just recorded one of the larger single-move score jumps we track. The ACCE composite score for Trip.com Group moved from 73 to 91, a delta of +18 points. The updated breakdown sits at Growth 88, Value 95, and Quality 91 — all out of 100. A move this size typically reflects meaningful improvement across more than one subscore, not a single data point shifting.

The Value subscore of 95 stands out immediately. TCOM trades at a trailing P/E of 6.6 and a forward P/E of 12.0, while the 6-model fair value estimate sits at $70.97 — a 50.1% premium to the current price of $47.29. When multiple valuation models converge that far above the market price, the Value subscore tends to move sharply upward.

The Quality subscore of 91 has real numbers behind it. Net margin is 53.3%, ROE is 21.1%, and FCF yield is 46.4%. Earnings quality is flagged as strong. Those are not typical consumer cyclical figures. A business generating free cash flow at that rate relative to its price gives the quality models a lot to work with.

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The Growth subscore of 88 reflects a year-over-year revenue increase of 20.8% and year-over-year earnings growth of 98.1%. Revenue growing at roughly one-fifth annually while earnings nearly double is the kind of operating leverage that growth models reward heavily.

What it means

A score of 91 puts TCOM near the top of the stocks we cover. But a few things are worth keeping in mind before reading this as a clean bullish signal.

First, the stock is down 21.2% over the past year. A high ACCE score reflects what the data looks like right now — it does not explain why the market has priced the stock where it has. Geopolitical risk, regulatory uncertainty around Chinese-listed ADRs, and currency exposure are factors that quantitative models capture imperfectly.

Second, the most recent earnings report for Q2 FY2026 came in with a miss of -1.0%. That is a small miss, and the broader earnings trend remains strong, but it is a data point worth noting alongside the otherwise impressive fundamentals.

Third, the analyst consensus target of $77.15 sits above our 6-model fair value of $70.97. Both figures imply significant upside from $47.29, but the gap between current price and estimated value has been wide for some time without closing.

The score move from 73 to 91 reflects a stock where the fundamental data — margins, cash generation, earnings growth, and valuation — has strengthened or been re-evaluated in a way that the composite model now rates very highly. Whether the market closes that gap is a separate question. For current pricing, see acceinvestments.com/stocks/TCOM.

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